Tuesday, December 19, 2006

Hillary and Obama – The French Connection

In 2002 French politician Le Pen surprised many when he captured 18 percent of the initial vote. The public was shocked since the polls showed him running much lower. The people didn’t want to admit voting for him - which is what the polls missed – but many believed in his nationalist platform.

The idea of an Obama and Clinton ticket is like that – people will publicly praise the idea but will vote the other way when it comes down to it.

Who wouldn’t want a minority and a female to lead the country? Well come on you aren’t some kind of RACIST are you?

Of course the Dems will vote for what ever fool is on the ticket (just like the Repubs) but the voters on the margin are who matter. Media hype doesn’t equal electability.

Basing too much on polls this early is a mistake.

Obama is inexperienced and a radical leftist – at this point no one really is talking about his track record – it’s an ugly one. As in ugly enough that even being a VP candidate is a long shot. Hillary Clinton is hated, even by people who aren’t very political. I don’t see why anyone would propose her for the top spot – she can’t win.

I will be shorting Obama but I think he may trade even higher. If Clinton wins the nomination I’ll short the dems.

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